{"id":6969,"date":"2014-09-29T08:32:43","date_gmt":"2014-09-29T15:32:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/plantingseedsblog.cdfa.ca.gov\/wordpress\/?p=6969"},"modified":"2014-09-29T08:32:43","modified_gmt":"2014-09-29T15:32:43","slug":"droughts-impact-crops-sacramento-bee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/plantingseedsblog.cdfa.ca.gov\/wordpress\/index.php\/2014\/09\/29\/droughts-impact-crops-sacramento-bee\/","title":{"rendered":"Drought’s impact on crops – from the Sacramento Bee"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Drought<\/a><\/p>\n

By Dale Kasler<\/strong><\/p>\n

It\u2019s harvest time in much of California, and the signs of drought are almost as abundant as the fruits and nuts and vegetables.<\/p>\n

One commodity after another is feeling the impact of the state\u2019s epic\u00a0water shortage.<\/a>\u00a0The great\u00a0Sacramento Valley<\/a>\u00a0rice crop, served in sushi restaurants nationwide and exported to Asia, will be smaller than usual. Fewer grapes will be available to produce California\u2019s world-class wines, and the citrus groves of the\u00a0San Joaquin Valley<\/a>\u00a0are producing fewer oranges. There is less hay and corn for the state\u2019s dairy cows, and the pistachio harvest is expected to shrink.<\/p>\n

Even the state\u2019s mighty almond business, which has become a powerhouse in recent years, is coming in smaller than expected. That\u2019s particularly troubling to the thousands of farmers who sacrificed other crops in order to keep their almond orchards watered.<\/p>\n

While many crops have yet to be harvested, it\u2019s clear that the drought has carved a significant hole in the economy of rural California. Farm income is down, so is employment, and Thursday\u2019s rain showers did little to change the equation.<\/p>\n

An estimated 420,000 acres of farmland went unplanted this year, or about 5\u00a0percent of the total. Economists at\u00a0UC Davis<\/a>\u00a0say agriculture, which has been a $44\u00a0billion-a-year business in California, will suffer revenue losses and higher water costs \u2013 a financial hit totaling $2.2\u00a0billion this year.<\/p>\n

Rising commodity prices have helped cushion at least some of the pain, but more hurt could be on the way. With rivers running low and groundwater overtaxed, the situation could get far worse if heavy rains don\u2019t come this winter.<\/p>\n

\u201cNobody has any idea how disastrous it\u2019s going to be,\u201d said Mike Wade of Modesto, executive director of the California Farm Water Coalition, an advocacy group based in Sacramento. \u201cIs it going to create more fallowed land? Absolutely. Is it going to create more groundwater problems? Absolutely.<\/p>\n

\u201cAnother dry year, we don\u2019t know what the result is going to be, but it\u2019s not going to be good,\u201d Wade said.<\/p>\n

Central Valley<\/a>\u00a0residents don\u2019t have to look far to see the effects. Roughly one-fourth of California\u2019s rice fields went fallow this year, about 140,000 acres worth, according to the California Rice Commission, leaving vast stretches of the\u00a0Sacramento Valley<\/a>\u00a0brown instead of their customary green.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019d all rather be farming, as would everybody who depends on us \u2013 the\u00a0truck drivers,<\/a>\u00a0the parts stores, the mills,\u201d said Mike Daddow, a fourth-generation rice grower in the Nicolaus area of southern\u00a0Sutter County.<\/a><\/p>\n

Daddow opted to fallow 150 of his family\u2019s 800 acres this year and counts himself lucky. \u201cWe did better than a lot of people,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Last week, Daddow was gearing up for the harvest, which begins Monday. It was pleasantly warm, but the faint smoky smell from the King fire was another unwelcome reminder of the parched season of discontent.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt affects me, yes, I will have less profit,\u201d he said. \u201cIt affects hourly workers. If there\u2019s no ground to till, I can\u2019t hire them to do anything.\u201d<\/p>\n

Daddow hired just six workers during\u00a0spring planting,<\/a>\u00a0instead of the usual nine or 10.<\/p>\n

Three boxes, not two<\/p>\n

Calculating total\u00a0job losses<\/a>\u00a0related to the drought is difficult, especially in an industry in which many workers are transient and much of the work is part time. The state Employment Development Department, drawing from payroll data, said farm employment has dropped by just 2,700 jobs from a year ago, a decline of less than 1\u00a0percent.<\/p>\n

But experts at UC Davis say they believe the impact is more severe.\u00a0Richard Howitt,<\/a>\u00a0professor emeritus of agricultural economics, said he believes the drought ultimately will erase 17,000 jobs. He bases that, in part, on the increased number of families seeking social services.<\/p>\n

The human cost shows up at rural\u00a0food banks,<\/a>\u00a0which are reporting higher demand for assistance from farmworkers and their families. At the Bethel Spanish Assembly of God, a church in theTulare County<\/a>\u00a0city of Farmersville, the number of families receiving food aid every two weeks has jumped from about 40 last year to more than 200. Farmersville, a city of 10,000, is at the heart of a region that grows an array of crops, from lemons to pistachios to grapes.<\/p>\n

\u201cSome of them are working … but they\u2019re not putting in the hours,\u201d said the Rev. Leonel Benavides, who is also Farmersville\u2019s mayor. Thanks to state-funded drought relief, the church has been able to meet the increased demand \u2013 and then some.<\/p>\n

\u201cInstead of just two boxes, we give them three,\u201d Benavides said.<\/p>\n

The effect goes beyond the farm fields. N&S Tractor, which sells Case IH brand farm equipment throughout the Central Valley, has seen business tail off as farmers conserve cash.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s not just our dealership,\u201d said N&S marketing director Tim McConiga Jr., who works out of the company\u2019s sales office in Glenn County. \u201cYou talk to John Deere, you talk to Caterpillar, everyone is going to tell you their numbers are down.\u201d<\/p>\n

The drought has had varying impacts on different areas of the state, depending in part on who has first dibs on the dwindling water supply. Some growers have stronger water rights than others. Generally speaking, Sacramento Valley farmers have had it easier than their counterparts south of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, where the cutbacks have been more severe.<\/p>\n

The Modesto and Turlock irrigation districts are delivering about 40 percent of their usual amounts. The Merced Irrigation District is far worse off, as are many of the West Side areas supplied by the federal Central Valley Project. The Oakdale and South San Joaquin irrigation districts have not had large cutbacks, but leaders worry about a dry 2015.<\/p>\n

Regardless of geography, many growers have had to make difficult choices about which fields to water, leaving portions of their farms idle.<\/p>\n

Bruce Rominger of Winters, chairman of the California Tomato Growers Association, made the decision to push ahead with his tomato crop at the expense of other commodities. With tomatoes selling for a robust $83 a ton, vs. about $70 a year ago, it was a matter of simple economics.<\/p>\n

\u201cOther crops are not getting the water,\u201d said Rominger, who owns and leases a total of about 5,000 acres. \u201cWe sacrificed some alfalfa, we sacrified some sunflowers, we sacrificed quite a bit of rice. We fallowed 25\u00a0percent of our farm.\u201d<\/p>\n

Much of the processing tomato crop goes to canneries in Modesto, Oakdale, Escalon and Los Banos.<\/p>\n

Almonds, citrus affected<\/p>\n

Choosing to focus on one crop doesn\u2019t guarantee victory. Even the $4\u00a0billion almond industry \u2013 the great success story of California agriculture in recent years \u2013 could not be shielded from the drought\u2019s effects.<\/p>\n

As worldwide demand for almonds has boomed, prices have soared past $4 a pound and farmers have responded with more supply. Orchard plantings have continued unabated, even this year. With water supplies running low, many almond growers set aside other commodities to keep their orchards going.<\/p>\n

Even so, the almond yield declined. Blue Diamond Growers, the big farmer-owner almond cooperative based in Sacramento, predicts that production in California will fall this year to around 1.9\u00a0billion pounds when the harvest is complete in a few weeks. That compares with the 2\u00a0billion pounds harvested last year and the U.S. Department of Agriculture\u2019s forecast, released in late June, that this year\u2019s crop would total 2.1\u00a0billion pounds.<\/p>\n

What went wrong? Almonds are one of the thirstiest crops around, and there wasn\u2019t enough water to generate big yields.<\/p>\n

\u201cI don\u2019t think there was anyone who used as much (water) as they normally do,\u201d said Dave Baker, director of member relations for Blue Diamond. The hot spells in June and July \u201cstressed the trees even further\u201d and curtailed production, he said.<\/p>\n

With California accounting for 80\u00a0percent of global almond supply, Baker said he\u2019s worried about being able to meet demand. \u201cWe have a growth industry,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Blue Diamond has plants also in Salida and Turlock, and several smaller processors are in or near Stanislaus County.<\/p>\n

The lack of water last spring likely also has stunted navel orange production in the San Joaquin Valley, where harvest is expected to begin in a few weeks.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019re expecting some kind of damage to the crop,\u201d said Alyssa Houtby, spokeswoman for California Citrus Mutual, a grower-owned association based in Tulare County. \u201cWe didn\u2019t have the water in those key months.\u201d<\/p>\n

Economist Vernon Crowder, a senior vice president with agricultural lender Rabobank, said farmers went into this difficult season with a couple of advantages: Most commodity prices have risen in recent years, and most growers are in pretty good financial shape as a result. But another dry year could bring more serious hardship, he said.<\/p>\n

\u201cThey have a little bit of cash to withstand this,\u201d Crowder said. \u201cThey\u2019re going to get through it. The real question is what is going to happen next year.\u201d<\/p>\n

Similar questions are being raised in the California wine industry, which produces much of its volume in the Modesto area. The last two grape harvests were extraordinarily strong, leaving an overhang of product that should help offset the slight declines in this year\u2019s harvest. \u201cPricing should be steady,\u201d said industry consultant Robert Smiley, a professor emeritus of business at UC Davis.<\/p>\n

That doesn\u2019t eliminate fears that next season\u2019s crop could shrink substantially. Craig Ledbetter of Vino Farms, a Lodi grape producer, had enough water this year but said he\u2019s afraid he\u2019ll receive \u201ccurtailment notices\u201d from the state signaling significant cutbacks in next season\u2019s water supply.<\/p>\n

\u201cI\u2019m very nervous about water,\u201d said Ledbetter, who also raises wine grapes in Sonoma County. \u201cIf we don\u2019t have a rainy winter, I can pretty much guarantee we\u2019re all going to be receiving curtailment notices. If that happens, we\u2019re going to be concerned about keeping the vine alive rather than harvesting it.\u201d<\/p>\n

Link to story<\/a><\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Dale Kasler It\u2019s harvest time in much of California, and the signs of drought are almost as abundant as the fruits and nuts and vegetables. One commodity after another is feeling the impact of the state\u2019s epic\u00a0water shortage.\u00a0The great\u00a0Sacramento … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\r\nDrought's impact on crops - from the Sacramento Bee - CDFA's Planting Seeds Blog<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/plantingseedsblog.cdfa.ca.gov\/wordpress\/index.php\/2014\/09\/29\/droughts-impact-crops-sacramento-bee\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Drought's impact on crops - from the Sacramento Bee - CDFA's Planting Seeds Blog\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Dale Kasler It\u2019s harvest time in much of California, and the signs of drought are almost as abundant as the fruits and nuts and vegetables. 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