{"id":9201,"date":"2015-08-14T08:31:34","date_gmt":"2015-08-14T15:31:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/plantingseedsblog.cdfa.ca.gov\/wordpress\/?p=9201"},"modified":"2015-08-14T08:31:34","modified_gmt":"2015-08-14T15:31:34","slug":"california-state-climatologist-count-el-nino-drought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/plantingseedsblog.cdfa.ca.gov\/wordpress\/index.php\/2015\/08\/14\/california-state-climatologist-count-el-nino-drought\/","title":{"rendered":"California State Climatologist: Do Not Count on El Nino to end drought"},"content":{"rendered":"

State Climatologist Michael Anderson issued the following statement on potential El Ni\u00f1o conditions:<\/p>\n

\u201cCalifornia cannot count on potential El Ni\u00f1o conditions to halt or reverse drought conditions.\u00a0 Historical weather data shows us that at best, there is a 50\/50 chance of having a wetter winter. Unfortunately, due to shifting climate patterns, we cannot even be that sure.”<\/p>\n

Additional background:<\/em>
\nThe current drought has resulted in observations of new, record-high temperatures and record low snowpack for California. Five of the lowest 10 snowpacks on record have occurred in the last decade, including the past four years.\u00a0 The seasonal snowpack is a key element to California\u2019s water resources management, modulating winter precipitation into spring runoff for beneficial use through the dry summer.<\/p>\n

As California heads into a new water year (October 1 to September 30) with a potential fifth year of drought and expectations of El Ni\u00f1o impacts in play during the winter, questions mount on what can be expected of winter temperatures, precipitation and snowpack for California.<\/p>\n

Unfortunately, a historical look at past years with similar El Ni\u00f1o conditions as currently forecasted provide little guidance as to what California might expect this winter.\u00a0 Of the seven years since 1950 with similar ENSO signals (1958, 1966, 1973, 1983, 1988, 1992, and 1998) three were wet years, one was average and three were dry (with water year 1992 perpetuating a drought).\u00a0 Past years were cooler than the temperatures we are experiencing now which will impact the rain\/snow boundary for any storms that materialize this winter.<\/p>\n

For more detail and information on the unpredictable nature of the El Ni\u00f1o phenomenon, visit: http:\/\/water.ca.gov\/waterconditions\/docs\/Drought_ENSO_handout4.pdf<\/a>.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

State Climatologist Michael Anderson issued the following statement on potential El Ni\u00f1o conditions: \u201cCalifornia cannot count on potential El Ni\u00f1o conditions to halt or reverse drought conditions.\u00a0 Historical weather data shows us that at best, there is a 50\/50 chance … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9201","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\r\nCalifornia State Climatologist: Do Not Count on El Nino to end drought - 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